Ask an adult to send your question to CuriousKidsUS@theconversation.com. Fears escalated in early 2022 as the number of Russian forces surrounding Ukraine increased. The Kremlins official line amid the standoff centered on Putins demands for security guarantees that would include a stop to NATOs expansion eastward and giving Russia a formal veto on Ukraine ever joining the military alliance. They have been inspired by the words of their president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Vladamir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy are approaching the one year milestone since the Ukraine and Russian war began. 1. They have already been told to leave while it is still possible to do so. David Ignatius: Europe is at the edge of a possible level of violence that we just havent seen, tension along the border between Russia and Ukraine, are rolling into two breakaway regions in eastern Ukraine, Russians and Ukrainians are one people a single whole., President Donald Trump went so far as to call Putin a "genius. What started as a concerning situation with hopes for dialogue and diplomacy then evolved into what the Ukrainian foreign minister described as the most blatant act of aggression in Europe since World War II. Please tell us your name, age and the city where you live. And whatever independence Belarus previously enjoyed has been effectively smothered by Russias embrace, with Belarusian dictator Aleksandr Lukashenko turning his country into an effective vassal state for Moscow. After all, this directly leads to deaths and bloodshed on Ukrainian territory. People waving Russian flags in Donetsk (Alexei Alexandrov/AP). In February 2022, Putin again claimed that Ukrainians and Russians are one people. I think Ukraine has always been a sore spot for Vladimir Putin, Pomeranz says. Kyiv pointed to artillery fire on a kindergarten in its territory and analysts questioned why it would intensify a long-running conflict while surrounded on three sides by Russian forces. All of this noise from Moscow about somehow their attack on Ukraine being a response to Nato aggression is just utter, utter nonsense.. In mid-January, Russia began moving troops into Belarus, a country bordering both Russia and Ukraine, in preparation for joint military exercises in February. If those borders have to go, well, then there is no obvious stopping point, says Hein Goemans, a professor of political science at the University of Rochester, pointing to the Soviet successor republics. Russia has threatened to strike military targets in the UK in retaliation for sending weapons to Ukraine. A principal demand of Russia is to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO, a military alliance between 28 European countries and two North American countries Sign up for notifications from Insider! It is an integral part of our own history, culture, spiritual space," he said. The West cant say we werent warned. Conceptions range between the demilitarisation and denazification of Ukraine, the permanent annexation of illegally occupied parts of eastern Ukraine, and a Keep up to date with the latest stories with our WalesOnline newsletter. February 12, 2022, 6:48 PM. Weeks of ominous intelligence assessments culminated in President Joe Biden making it clear that the U.S. believed Putin had made the decision to invade. Heres what we know. If you have a question youd like an expert to answer, send it to curiouskidsus@theconversation.com. There is this long-felt resentment about Ukrainian independence and the fact that the Soviet Union just let Ukraine go away, as it were. They say the roots of the tension can be tied to some combination of the complicated history between the two countries, Russias ongoing tensions with NATO and the ambitions of one man: Putin. By December of that year, tens of thousands of Russian troops were hovering on the border, virtually surrounding the country and stoking tensions that led to a call between Putin and U.S. President Joe Biden. With Putins plan taking shape, Ukraines leaders moved to introduce a state of emergency and began conscripting reservists. All the while, the Kremlin denied it had any such plans. Western leaders warned that an invasion was likely as he deployed some 150,000 troops around the countrys borders and issued security demands to the United States and NATO that were never likely to go anywhere. But experts and Western officials said that the Russian leaders security demands were ultimately just a cover for his true ambition. To recap, on Dec. 17, the Kremlin demanded that NATO deployments return to the borders that the alliance maintained a quarter century ago, a change that would end NATOs presence in places like the Baltic countries the three nations that escaped Moscows domination just a few decades ago. NBC News, also attributing its figures to Western and Ukrainian officials, notes that about 13,000 Ukrainian service members have been killed. And we must not underestimate it., He went on to accuse Nato of pouring oil on the fire by aiding Ukraine, adding: Nato, in essence, is engaged in a war with Russia through a proxy and is arming that proxy. Moscow became a local capital of the Mongol Empire. Why does Russia want to invade Ukraine? The Russian military entered Ukraine from several directions, with troops headed toward its capital, Kyiv, and attacked with airstrikes and shelling. Ukraine is one of just a few countries in Eastern Europe that arent members of the alliance. That promise was kept. The Russian leader was also given carte blanche to move his troops outside Russia after the countrys parliament rubber-stamped his request. Punishments have focused on, for example, Russian oil and gas imports and Russian banks. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. Fears that Russia was planning an invasion mounted as the troop presence along Ukraines borders swelled, reaching an estimated 130,000 by the end of January. I wrote about that in my first book, to explain why the First World War lasted for four years although the German leaders had already concluded in November 1914 that they couldnt win; they fought for another four years because they were afraid of domestic political punishment. Crimea was annexed into Russia in 1783. The decades-long frozen conflict in Moldovas Transnistria region, a Russia-backed enclave that borders Ukraine, is also newly relevant as a potential hub of Russian military expansion. Those fears became reality this week, when the Russian leader launched a broad invasion. There has never been a sustainable statehood in Ukraine.". The relationship had completely soured by 2014, when months of deadly protests and the toppling of Ukraines pro-Russian government culminated in Moscow annexing Ukraines Crimean Peninsula and Russia throwing its weight behind the separatist insurgency in Ukraines east. But he added that from the beginning, the Rus' was fragmented, occupied invaded and divided by a series of forces - including the Mongols, Poland and Lithuania. In every single war, hes won, Michael McFaul, who was ambassador to Russia in the Obama administration, told NBC News before the Ukraine invasion. Putin has also incorrectly stated that Russia gave Ukraine the right to break away, when in fact, the Ukrainian people voted overwhelmingly for independence in a 1991 referendum, The Washington Post reported. This has never been about Ukraine and NATO per se, Secretary of State Antony Blinken said as the crisis reached fever pitch. In the last century, Ukraine, known as the breadbasket of Europe, was one of the most populous and powerful republics in the former Soviet Union as well as an agricultural engine until it declared independence in 1991, according to the Council on Foreign Relations. Earlier this month, Putin claimed genocide was being committed against ethnic Russians in eastern Ukraine, particularly in the Donbas region, where Kremlin-backed rebels have been fighting with Ukrainian forces since 2014. And if those borders have to go, well, then there is no obvious stopping point: Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Armenia, Georgia, Moldova, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Latvia, Lithuania, Estoniaall the successor republics are going to ask, Are we next? The new threats against Finland and Sweden, to warn them off from joining NATO, are also extremely concerning. Leaders in these countries depend on him, directly and indirectly, to stay in office. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. Rather than watching independent countries make decisions about their own security arrangements, Putin and his inner circle envision one broad, U.S.-led conspiracy to supposedly encircle Moscow. Of course, its not just his political position. The impulse, and I certainly share it, is to punish him severely. Essentially, Putin is flipping the bird at the West and the rest of the world. Following weeks of tension along the border between Russia and Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putins rhetorical animus toward Ukrainian sovereignty has finally boiled over. Moldova itself could even shatter, if Russia decides to add the region to any new territory it might seize from Ukraine. 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The current difficulties date back to the overthrow in 2014 of the pro-Moscow Ukrainian government of Viktor Yanukovych, prompting fears in the Kremlin that the country was moving into the orbit of the West. Controlling forces in Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk may prefer Russian 'control' but the majority of the people want a united, free, peaceful Ukraine. The buildup of forces around Russia's neighbor and former Soviet Union state started in late 2021 and escalated in early 2022. Fast forward to 2013. For years, Putin has been saying Russians and Ukrainians are so closely historically and culturally aligned that they are essentially one people. Theres also an interlocking commitment problem here: Ukraine cannot promise not to join NATO in the long term, which Russia sees as a threat to its borders. Many countries, such as Canada, the U.K. and others in Europe, have followed suit. Now that hes launched his invasion, the lingering question is, where will he stop? Ukraines foreign minister Dmytro Kuleba posted on Twitter: This only means Moscow sense losing hope to scare the world off supporting Ukraine.. US intelligence claims Russia has stationed about 70,000 troops near the border of Ukraine and has begun planning for a possible invasion as soon as early next Most of Russia's ports are iced over for about 6 months in a year and hence not useful for global trade by Russian state media began to deliver a flood of public reports about alleged atrocities taking place in the region, which Putin has repeatedly called a genocide. International monitors categorically deny thats the case. One by one, they lined up to tell him that the only way to stop the alleged carnage in Donbas was to recognize the separatist regions as independent. The Crimean War was a conflict between 1853 and 1856 in which Russia fought an alliance of the UK, France, the Ottoman Empire and Sardinia - partially over Russian expansion. The response has been swift especially at the outset. In 1774 the Ottomans were defeated by Russia and traded Crimea to Catherine the Great. ", Putin blames U.S. and NATO for Ukraine crisis, key American partners in places like Germany, New images of violence in separatist regions of Ukraine. What is the history of conflict in Crimea and Ukraine - and what will happen next? Ukraines leaders sought to play down the threat and calm its citizens, but events soon took a turn. The Russian dictator has grown to see himself as not another middling, kleptocratic dictator, but as a figure of historic import. beginning of a Russian invasion of Ukraine, President Putin announces military operations in eastern Ukraine. He believes, Hey, Ukraine, I'm more powerful than you. Just days later, Putin conducted apparently staged consultations with senior Kremlin officials. They also have closely related languages, with many people in the two countries sharing strong family ties. Goemans:The principles of the International Order would be destroyed. I dont think that right now there is an imminent threat of escalation.. There have been longstanding hostilities between the two since the fall of the Soviet Union. A principal demand of Russia is to prevent Ukraine from joining NATO, a military alliance between 28 European countries and two North American countries dedicated to preserving peace and security in the North Atlantic area. Russian ambassador to the UK Andrey Kelin made similar comments earlier this month, after a UK-made Starstreak missile shot down a Russian helicopter. There are a number of theories, principal among them is his aim to restore Russias influence in eastern Europe. Democracy stands., Tags: Ukraine, Russia, United States, NATO. Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan. Russian President Vladimir Putin on Tuesday used a highly anticipated speech to deny responsibility for the war in Ukraine and lash out at his adversaries. In a message on Tuesday she said: I strongly advise British nationals to leave the country while commercial travel is available.. The increasing presence in Eastern Europe of NATO, established in the wake of World War II as a bulwark against the Soviet Union, and the Wests close ties with Ukraine were at the crux of Russias demands in the monthslong standoff. Across Ukraine the population has long been divided between those who look towards Russia, and those who look towards an independent Ukraine. Mr Lavrov insisted Russia wants to reduce all chances of artificially elevatingthe risk of nuclear conflictto avoid world war three. Leaders and organizations around the world, such as the U.N., have accused Russia of war crimes and other human rights atrocities. I think NATO, and the invitation for Ukraine to join NATO at some point in the future, is simply just a pretext to potentially invade Ukraine, he says, referring to Russia. President Joe Biden on Thursday said he believed Putin was trying to restore the Soviet Union. Such principles include territorial integrity, which is something that Russia committed to when Ukraine gave up its nuclearweapons and became independent. told NBC News before the Ukraine invasion. All the while, the Kremlins moves have created tension with key American partners in places like Germany, with Berlin and Washington at loggerheads about how to respond to Moscows aggression. Putin has also accused Ukraine of committing genocide and called its government a Nazi regime, claims for which there is no evidence. He said the borders that were drawn by Lenin and by Stalin, partially as a result of the First and Second World War, are illegitimate and have to go. Biden on Feb. 22, 2022, announced a series of sanctions against Russian financial institutions and the countrys elites. But Russia has kept a close eye on its neighbor to the West, while Ukrainians have found their independence to be tumultuous at times, with periods of protests and government corruption. Russia and Ukraine have a long-standing history and there has been tension between Moscow and Kyiv since Its virtually certain that he would be prosecuted back home and would go to jail. But he has an estimated 150,000 troops ringed around Ukraine and Mr Johnson warned all the evidence is that President Putin is indeed bent on a full-scale invasion of the Ukraine. Kyiv became part of a new commonwealth that spanned todays Poland and Ukraine. Latvia and Estonia. The United States and much of Europe are on the side of Ukrainians. The Kremlin in general views NATO expansion as a fundamental concern, according to a translated readout of a Jan. 28, 2022, call between Putin and French President Emmanuel Macron. Or by navigating to the user icon in the top right. It includes Finland. The original map posted on February 25, 2022, inaccurately included Austria as a NATO ally. These voices, however, missed the forests for the trees. It was shaped by contact with different peoples and a history different from Russias. NBC News looks at whats behind Russias attack on Ukraine, which has left Europe facing perhaps its gravest security crisis since World War II. So its this whole musical-chairs scenario of dictators who are all afraid of losing office. The UK along with the US and other European countries have sent defensive aid to the country as an invasion now seems inevitable. President Joe Biden and other Western leaders have criticized Russian President Vladimir Putin, calling his country's actions a violation of international law. Both countries trace their beginnings to the same medieval kingdom, called Kyivan Rus. Russia has failed to gain much ground within the borders of its western neighbor, and some of the cities taken over by Russian troops near the start of the war have since been reclaimed by Ukraine. Curious Kids is a series for children of all ages. And the reason for that, from the theory of warfare and from a leader perspective, is that he does it to ensure his personal survival. Russian President Vladimir Putin launched a large-scale invasion of Ukraine early Thursday morning. Matthew Lenoe explains how Ukraines history is intertwined with Russiasbut also with that of many other nations, empires, ethnicities, and religions. It provides a counter example to Russias autocratic dictatorial system. Kathryn David does not work for, consult, own shares in or receive funding from any company or organization that would benefit from this article, and has disclosed no relevant affiliations beyond their academic appointment. Michael Kofman, one of the U.S.s lead Russian military analysts, echoed as much, noting, Ukraine, whose fate hangs in the balance, may be at the center of the crisis, but Moscow has a greater goal in mind: the revision of Europes security order.. Its also his head if he loses power. "That includes all of Ukraine. This is, after all, a president who has previously claimed that Ukraine is not a country and that Russians and Ukrainians are one people a single whole., This is, after all, a president who has previously claimed that Ukraine is not a country and that Russians and Ukrainians are one people a single whole., Some of the more blinkered Western responses to the Kremlins aggression pre-invasion claimed the current crisis is about Ukraine, and nothing more. By clicking Sign up, you agree to receive marketing emails from Insider Russia has changed its plan to take over Ukraine, with the goal now to exhaust the country rather than conquer new territory, UK intel says. Putin is concerned over NATO's expansion and has falsely said Ukraine is committing genocide. In Bosnia, the current ethnic Serb member of the countrys tripartite presidency (and a close ally of Moscow) threw his full weight behind the secession efforts of the countrys Serb-dominated region of Republika Srpska one of the key reasons the U.S. slapped sanctions on him in January. For years, Putin has railed against the Wests supposed perfidy in expanding NATO following the Soviet collapse. For the referendum vote, 84% of eligible voters went to the polls, and more than 90% voted in favor of independence. Bowman echoes this sentiment and points to how the U.S. handled pulling troops out of Afghanistan in August. Could Russia really attack the UK? The 2014 Crimea annexation is another example, Bowman notes, and Putin said on Feb. 22 that he wants the world to recognize that territory as rightfully Russian. Russian President Vladimir Putin gave an address on Tuesday where he exposed the satanic agenda to normalize pedophilia in the West. Goemans: A loss might doom his domestic, political, and physical survival. Thankfully, the Biden administration is standing firm behind formal allies and Ukrainian partners alike. Ukraine's foreign minister has accused Russia of starting a full-scale war and called on the UK to do "everything possible" to stop it. Fears that Russia was planning an invasion mounted as the troop presence along Ukraines borders swelled, reaching an estimated 130,000 by the end of January. In a public statement on Monday night, ahead of declaring two parts of Ukraine as separate states, Russian premier Vladimir Putin repeated a long-held Russian belief that the Ukraine is not a real country. Experts and military analysts have been speculating for months on whether Putin intends to engage in a full-blown war with Ukraine. Russia and Ukraine have been linked by a common history since the ninth century, when Kyiv became the capital of the ancient state of Rus. The U.S. president also ordered sanctions against the Russian-built Nord Stream 2 natural gas pipeline company and its corporate officers on Feb. 23, prior to the invasion. He has ordered troops into the two regions to maintain peace crossing the red line set by the West by deploying Russian forces on Ukrainian territory. Russia wouldnt need to move nukes to its European border to carry out its threat, officials boasted. He also moved to place Russias nuclear deterrent on high alert, an action UK Defence Secretary Ben Wallace wrote off as being about distracting the world and the public from what hes actually doing in Ukraine. Why does Vladimir Putin want to invade Ukraine? Many of them will die because of Putins folly, says Goemans, who is the author ofWar and Punishment(Princeton University Press, 2000) and the coauthor ofLeaders and International Conflict(Cambridge University Press, 2011). When shooting starts, things get out of hand. A revolution in February 1917 forced Russias leader, Czar Nicholas II, from the throne. Photo by Kay Nietfeld/picture alliance via Getty Images, dozens of troops on both sides and some Ukrainian civilians, political and military alliance that dates back to 1949 and consists of 30 member countries, three nations that are considered aspiring members, insists it is a defensive alliance and not a threat to Russia, Putin claimed Ukraine wasn't a real country, overwhelming evidence of Ukrainian culture and history that predates the Soviet Union, more than 90% voted in favor of independence, Ukraine voluntarily gave up the nuclear weapons, Putin wanted to go back to the days of the Russian Empire. Its capital was the city of Kyiv the same Kyiv that is now the capital of Ukraine. But Russian aggression in eastern Europe is likely to increase anxiety among Natos members. He said said weapons shipments from the UK and other Nato countries would be a legitimate target for Russian attacks. Putin also insisted that Ukraine is part of Russia. Ukrainian Presidency Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images. Tags: Department of Political Science, School of Arts and Sciences, thought leadership, Ukrainians demonstrate in London after Russias Vladimir Putin authorized large-scale attacks on Ukraine, with Russian troops invading the country. Most Ukrainians disagree. Russia and Ukraine have what either side might describe as a common or complicated legacy that dates back a thousand years. But could Russia really move to strike the UK? The alliance has said Ukraine is among three nations that are considered aspiring members. The UK, European Union and United States will all impose economic sanctions. Beyond the concern around NATO and other demands related to weapons and transparency, Russias nature of expansion is also at play when it comes to Ukraine. I think Vladimir Putin thinks this is the best time for him to right what he perceives as a great wrong and reverse Ukrainian independence and sovereignty, says Pomeranz of the Wilson Center. Biden said as much Thursday in comments on Putin's invasion of Ukraine: "He has much larger ambitions than Ukraine. Naturally, our armed forces will view them as a legitimate target if those supplies get through the Ukrainian border.. As he moved toward war, his skewed views on Ukraines history and statehood re-emerged, leaving even the most seasoned of Kremlinologists alarmed. Some observers and U.S. defense officials have suggested Putin might go further and try to remove the current democratically elected president, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, who has kept Ukraines political course stubbornly aligned with the West. On Thursday afternoon, Biden announced new, harsher sanctions against Russia that he said were designed "to maximize the long-term impact on Russia and minimize the impact on the United States and our allies.". 10 reasons why Russia had to invade Ukraine. We wont be able to answer every question, but we will do our best. In response Russia illegally annexed the Ukrainian region of Crimea, which caused international outrage and reignited tensions between the Kremlin and the West. Here are some reasons Putin has given for why Russia invaded Ukraine some of which are based on falsehoods along with what the US and NATO have said about his motivations. 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It seems much more likely that hell install a puppet regime instead. Goemans: One answer could be that he now feels strong enough to do it while the West appears in disarray. This could lead to a further build-up of forces, potentially increasing tensions even further in the region. The war included the famous Charge of the Light Brigade and was the conflict which made Florence Nightingale famous. The European Union has also imposed its own sanctions, targeting Russian individuals including Putin himself and energy. There is talk of giving Putin an off-ramp but that completely misses the point that Putin is afraid domestic enemies might overthrow and kill him, and theres little the West can do to address those fears. Hours later Putin did just that, while also promising to send Russian troops into the breakaway republics under the guise of peacekeepers.. Many families have both Russian and Ukrainians members. Why does Russia potentially want to invade Ukraine? Putins list includes a ban on Ukraine from entering NATO, and agreement that You have these rows of dominoes, one Color Revolution after another, and at the end of the domino series is Russia. Prior to the invasion, Russian President Vladimir Putin recognized the Russian-backed breakaway regions of Donetsk and Luhansk, both located in the disputed Donbas area, as independent peoples republics and ordered so-called peacekeeping troops into those areas. From the 14th century and for 400 years what is now Ukraine was ruled by Poland and Lithuania, with a culture and language distinct from Russia. The crisis reached fever pitch impulse, and those who look towards an independent.. There are a number of theories, principal among them is his aim to restore Russias in., called Kyivan Rus curious Kids is a series of sanctions against Russian financial institutions and the West posted! Will he stop attack on Ukraine being a response to NATO aggression is just utter, nonsense... 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